Master's thesis on applied economics

Summary

Abdulina A.K. Model of rational behavior: experimental verification of assumptions (supervisor: prof. Merkulov T.V.).
There was produced a review of experimental economics in the world and the problem of public goods. There was analyzed the foreign results of Public Good Game: was made their comparison with the results obtained in Ukraine; there was made an attempt to simulate the behavior model of economic agents on the basis of laboratory experiments. To analyze the results of the experiments there were used MS Office software tools, modeling of agents' behavior is implemented using a software Deductor Studio Academic.
Keywords: Public Good game, public goods, experimental economics, the Kohonen network, the rational behavior model.

Volkova V.V. Assessment of investment projects of e-business (on the example of an online store) (Ph.D. Yevstrat D.I.).
The investment project has been analyzed in this paper. The methods of evaluating the effectiveness of investment in the project have been investigated. Initial investment and operational flows of e-business project have been listed and assessed. The classical performance indicators for project investment (net present value of the project internal rate of return and discounted payback period) have been calculated. Assessment and risk analysis with the help of the theory of fuzzy sets have been carried out.
Keywords: e-business, economic efficiency, investment project, net present value of the project, the internal rate of return, discounted payback period, the risk level of the project, fuzzy logic.

Harahatyi I.D. Optimization of routing of cargo transportation for online store (Ph.D. Yevstrat D.I.).
Observed the main types of routing problems of transport. Analyzed the influence of the average vehicle speed on price of delivery. Proposed optimization of routing of cargo transportation for online store problem, taking into account the state of the transport network. An algorithm for finding an approximate solution of the problem. The algorithm is implemented as a separate component for web framework Django and tested on real-world examples.
Keywords:VRP, routing, transportation problem, Clarke & Wright's Savings Algorithm, Traveling Salesman Problem.

Kramkovska A.O. Forecasting sales in the automotive market of Ukraine (supervisor: associate PhD . Kovpak E.O.).
This thesis work investigates the state of the automotive market of Ukraine and the world, its characteristics and development trends, analyzed and forecasted sales. In the environment of «Deductor Studio Academic» the analysis of the automobile market of Ukraine on regions by means of the cluster analysis and Kokhanin's cards was carried out, the corresponding conclusions are drawn. For forecasting of sales volumes the regression model with fictitious variable and adaptive model of Holta-Uinters is constructed, and also expert methods were used. Proceeding from conclusions of the cluster analysis two regions Kiev and the Kharkov Region were separated considered.
The resulting forecasts of models can be used for substantiation decisions related to the optimization of the companies in the automobile market production and supply activity.
Keywords: automobile market, forecasting, cluster analysis, regression model, adaptive model, expert method.

Kryvoruchko O.V. Project of the fire safety systems creation (on the TPP example) (supervisor: Ph.D., Assoc. Kononova K. Y.).
In the thesis the electricity market has been analyzed, the specify of Luhansk TPS functioning was described. Fire extinguishing systems were analyzed. Project of a fire safety system in the Luhansk TPP was developed. Temporal and probabilistic characteristics and resource load on the project were analyzed. The project was optimized. The financial scheme of the project was considered and identified the profitability and feasibility of the project investment with the help of investment analysis.
Keywords: electricity, fire safety systems, Luhansk TPP, optimization, investment analysis.

Medchenko N. A. Organizational design company distributor of furniture (supervisor: supervisor: Ph.D. Kovpak E. A).
The characteristics and trends of Ukrainian furniture market have been analyzed the thesis work The seven-layer base business processes model for enterprise-furniture distributor has been built at «BusinessStudio». The neuron network has been built in «Deductor Studio Academic» to automate the procedure for determining the price of custom furniture. The proposals for optimizing organizational structure distributor of furniture have been submitted for company LLC "Art Metal Furniture furniture".
Keywords: Ukrainian furniture market, organizational design, business process model, neuron network, the company distributor.

Minchenko M.V.  Analysis of the information society statistical profiles (Ph.D. Kononova E.Y.).
The paper covers the main aspects and the complexity of measuring the information society. Composite indices measuring the information society have been considered. Statistical profiles of the information society have been analyzed based on composite indices, as well as based on of partial indicators. a cluster analysis of statistical data have been conducted using Kohonen self-organizing maps.
Keywords: information society, information society measurements, composite indices, cluster analysis, self-organizing maps (SOM).

Snitkina A.А. Management of credit and deposit policy of commercial banks (Prof. Mekrulova T. V.)
The role of credit and deposit policies in commercial banks, are considered the main elements of credit and deposit policies. Detail model of the dynamics of bank capital and calculations, on the basis of which conclusions are drawn concerning the change of the bank's equity, depending on the ratio of operating costs and the ratio of provisioning against loans.
Keywords: credit policy, deposit policy, commercial bank, models of economic dynamics, the Bank, the growth rate of the sin of deposits, the reserve index.

Taraban E.I. The banking system of Ukraine: regional aspects of analysis (Prof. Merkulova T.V.).
The final Master's work is devoted to research the Ukrainian banking sector at the regional level. The main problems of the banking sector and its importance for national economy are exposed. Index of banks activities and the regional aspect of the socio-economic development of Ukraine are considered. Regions' clustering was conducted in three ways using the algorithm of "Self Organizing Map": a) on the basis of bank activities index b) on the basis of general economic data c) mixed clustering - adjusted for general economic and banking features. The obtained results are clusters that group regions according to a tier of banking sector development and economic potential.
Keywords: banking system, regional economics, Self Organizing Map, clustering.

Zaitsev O. O. "System-dynamic approach to the analysis of the scenarios of alternative energetics development in Ukraine" (Scientific supervisor assoc. prof. Tatyana Bitkova, Ph.D.)
In the diploma work the main problems of the development of alternative energetics are examined. The reference models are analyzed and a system dynamics model is proposed for decision making, connected with the investments into the wind power installations. A computer experiment was conducted and a regression meta-model, which allows to evaluate the mean profitability of different scenarios, was constructed
Key words: alternative energetics, wind power installation, system dynamics, simulation model.

Kazanova T.V. The investment project assessment by network modeling methods(supervisor: Ph.D., Assoc. Kononova K.U.)
The financial and economical activity of mine named G.G. Kapustinand the competitive environment assessment are analyzed in the graduation work. Despite on the fact that the company has the second highest sales volume in the market, can be seen that the mine is not profitable. Measures which would help increase efficiency and improve the financial condition of the company are proposed. The investment project of the mine technical re-equipment is developed. The temporal and probabilistic characteristics, resource load on the project are analyzed by the methods of network planning. The project profitability and the investing appropriateness are determined by the investment analysis.
Keywords: coal mining enterprise, financial and economic analysis, network planning, investment analysis.

Borozniak O. N. Estimation of economic efficiency of investments in the production of solid biological fuel (supervisor: PhD. Kovpak E.A.)
The segments and trends of development of the Ukrainian market of solid fuel have been considered. The investment project of creation of a pellet plant in Kharkiv region is presented. The components and size of capital investments and operating cash flows for the pellets plant have been determined. The feasibility of implementing a project using the classical indicators of economic efficiency has been evaluated.
Keywords: solid biological fuel, investment project, pellet plant, economic efficiency, NPV, IRR.

Butenko O.I. Innovations Diffusion Modelling in IT sphere (Scientific supervisor: Ph.D., assoc. prof. Bitkova T.V.)
The paper discusses the basic definitions and concepts of innovation diffusion in IT sphere and processes of the new software distribution. The analysis of influence of advertising and contacts between the recipients on the rate of the innovation diffusion for the corporate and individual users is carried out. A system-dynamic model is constructed, results of a control run are received, a computer experiment is carried out.
Key words: innovations diffusion, IT product, acceptation, efficiency of advertising/contacts,system dynamics method, simulation model.

Myroshnychenko V.A. Assessment of financial stability of the Bank using the tools of fuzzy mathematics (supervisor: PhDKovpak E. A.).
The procedure of express-estimation of financial stabilityof banks by matching values of financial ratios with risk of bankruptcy in the developed fuzzy classifier has been tested on Ukrainian banks this work.The obtained fuzzy evaluation of the degree of financial stability of banks have been associated with the rating agencies. The forecasts of financial ratios and the corresponding degree of financial stability have been developed for PJSC CB "PrivatBank" for the 4th quarter of 2014. All calculations were performed using MS Excel.
Keywords: financial stability, Bank, the international rating Agency, rapid assessment, the fuzzy classifier.

Zaretskaya K.V. Analysis of structural changes in the economy of Ukraine in the econometric (supervisor: PhD. Kovpak E.A.).
In the thesis work the nature and causes of the structural changes in the economy of their quantitative indicators, quality and efficiency, the methods of detection of structural changes in the time series and their methods of modeling have been investigated. Using the Chow test the structural changes in the time series variables GDP, gross and unemployment in Ukraine have been found. A quantitative analysis of structural changes in the model of GDP depending on exports and imports, and a model of linear regression of GDP has been realized. The regression models for consumer price index for goods and services, the unemployment rate of the population and the system of simultaneous equations  for Ukraine's GDP have been built.
Keywords: structural shift, the Chow test, regression model GDP, system of simultaneous equations, the consumer price index for goods and services, the regression model in the unemployment rate.

Pleska E.V. Modeling the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators (supervisor: Kononova, K. Y).
The aim of the diploma work is the modeling of the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. For her achievements were posed and solved following tasks: collected and analyzed statistical data on macroeconomic indicators; the choice of the tools of fuzzy logic; fuzzy system is constructed output (start) to monitoring the phase of economic development; clarify parameters start using a hybrid neural network. 
Keywords: macroeconomic indicators, periodicity, fuzzy logic, MATLAB.

Gordienko V.N.. Modeling activities of enterprise queueing (for network of auto services) (supervisor: Ph.D., Assoc. Kononova K. Y.). This thesis was devoted to the development of a simulation model of the work car "LUX-washing" in the simulation software package «ARENA». Market of auto services was described. Activity of auto service and problems in its work were analyzed. Basic simulation model was created on results of theoretical data. Modification model with detailing the distribution by type of vehicle was created too. Analyze of modeling showed that built simulation model can be used to solve problems of congestion workers and equipment, analyzing efficiency of resource using.
Keywords: ARENA, car wash, queuing system, discrete simulation.

Sosedko V. Evaluating the effectiveness of investment in the trucking company (PhD, dots. Kovpak E.A).
The market of transportation services in Ukraine has been analyzed. The content of trucking company activity has been explored. The main criteria of operating efficiency for trucking company have been considered. The financial-economic activity of JSC "Komsomolsk TC №15347" has been analyzed and the capital investment for modernization project has been estimated. The performance indicators of the company without and after the introduction of the investment project have been calculated. The classical performance indicators for project investment (net present value of the project internal rate of return and discounted payback period) have been calculated.
Keywords: economic efficiency, investment project, the net present value of the project, the internal rate of return, discounted payback period, trucking company.

Stepanenko I. D. Cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative options for development of the territory residential facilities (Head Ph.D.Kovpak E. O.)
Analyzed the real estate market in Ukraine and, in particular, in Kharkov.Shown how to assess the cost-effectiveness of development projects territory. We consider two alternative development project areas in Kharkov apartment buildings economy and premium. The estimation of capital investment, operating cash flows and the estimated project cost-effectiveness of alternative development projects.
Keywords: investment project efficiency, capital expenditures, operating costs, NPV, IRR, risk analysis, construction site.

Fomina K.M. Modeling of the national economy: analysis of the interconnection of commodity and financial sectors (Head Ph.D., professor Merkulova T.V.)
Considered the assumptions, staging and implementation of macroeconomic model IS-LM, which describes the overall macroeconomic equilibrium is formed by a combination of models of equilibrium in the goods and money markets. Analyzed statistical and dynamic staging model . The approbation of the dynamic and statistical settings of IS-LM model for Ukraine.
Keywords: macroeconomic's balance, model IS-LM, the statistical model posing, dynamic staging model, the effectiveness of public expenditure policy, testing the model, the effect of the speed controller.

Chkalova M.A. Network planning of the typical project of the cottage construction (supervisor: dozent, Ph.D. Kononova E.Y.).
In the research paper there were analyzedthe market of luxury housing and the peculiarities of the construction of this sector. The development of the projects on construction in Ukraine was observed. The project of construction of an elite cottage was developed, the timing and resource burden on the project weredefined. The optimization of the resource allocation was undertaken. It was estimated the financial profitability of the project.
Keywords: primary housing market, the elite sector, resource load, optimization, speeding up of the work, profitability.